I like looking at things long-term, and I don’t like making drastic moves based on small sample sizes. Given the play of the Indians to this point, it’s really easy to go Shaw and rip the entire organization, calling for their removals. My previous attempt at humor aside, the long-term prospects of this team is still pretty good. Bob Wickman, Scott Elarton, Kevin Millwood, Jose Hernandez and Bob Howry are this year’s crop of free agents, and given that Millwood is going to test the market no matter how much the Indians offer, there’s no one there I’d recommend keeping for more than a team-friendly price.

But how are the Indians going to compete in the short-term? Well, there are a couple things I’d like to see happen, namely:

(1) Release Scott Elarton and call up Brian Tallet.

That Scott Elarton was one of the team’s best starters in the second half last year said more about the Indians’ rotation than it said about Scott. This season, he’s allowed 41 hits in 31 innings. That’s not good. Hitters are batting .325 so far this season, and half of his starts came against Kansas City and Seattle. Brian Tallet, a guy the Indians drafted in 2000 (the round after Corey Smith), is pitching very well in Buffalo, and he would slot easily into the rotation, as he pitched last night. I’m not rooting for an all-out implosion from Elarton to force the team’s hand, but I just think they’re wasting their time holding on to Elarton. It’s not like last year where the team had no good options to turn to; Tallet is just one of three legitimate alternatives (the others being Steve Watkins and Jason Davis) they could plug into the rotation.

(2) Call up Kaz Tadano and send Jason Davis to Buffalo

Until the Indians decide one way or the other if JD is a reliever or starter, he should be throwing regularly. That isn’t happening right now, and Davis is a guy who needs reps. I’d put him back into the rotation, but I’d be fine with having him set up Fernando Cabrera in the Bisons’ bullpen. At least this way he can get some consistent work in. Tadano has essentially been Buffalo’s long man, only getting one start, so he wouldn’t have to make much of an adjustment.

(3) Send Aaron Boone to Buffalo and call up Jody Gerut

You don’t like to send veterens down, but I really think this is in the best interest of the team. Boone is hitting an empty .147, if that’s possible. His OPS is an absurdly-low .476. While his defense has been as advertised, it certainly can’t make up for what he’s done at the plate. Maybe a fresh start, without the pressure, can help Aaron figure out what’s wrong his swing. Jody Gerut, once his knee has been declared sound, should probably be up in Cleveland. Will that mean he and Eddie Murray will get along? Probably not, but maybe he’ll give the Indians some production in right field.

(4) Platoon Casey Blake and Jose Hernandez at third until Boone returns

Wait? Aren’t both players right-handed? Yes, they are, but Blake doesn’t have standard platoon splits, and Jose Hernandez does. Blake, in his career, is hitting .257/.323/426 against right-handed pitching, and Jose Hernandez is hitting .262/.324/.490 against left-handers. Ben Broussard is in the midst of one of his hot streaks, so I’d try to run him out there as much as possible.

(5) Spot Josh Bard against right-handers more often

Victor Martinez as a right-handed hitter is an All-Star. Martinez as a left-hander looks like Tim Laker. Given that you have Josh Bard, who’s a halfway decent offensive catcher, it wouldn’t hurt to spot him against a tough right-hander, regardless of normal playing schedules. Also, when Martinez is in the lineup against a right-hander, move him down in the order, and move Broussard to the third spot in the order, at least until Victor starts to hit from the left side again.

So there you have it. Nothing dramatic, other than the release of Elarton, but at this point I think you’re stuck with what you’ve got.

The Byrd-Radke-Moyer Offense Scale

To enhance your baseball-viewing pleasure, I’d like to introduce a new test that will allow you to safely miss an Indians game if other pressing needs arise. Just a simple few questions will determine whether today’s starter will merely humble Indian bats or bury them, dig them up, spit on them, and rebury them. Either way, you can be self-assured that you will not waste a second of your life watching a dreadful offensive performance. Of course, I make no promises that, if directed to watch the game, the offense will be merely awful or even slightly horrific. But I do promise that by using this simple scale, you can avoid watching a dreadful offensive showing. Now onto the scale:

1. Which word most closely describes today’s pitcher?

A. Crafty
B. Veteren
C. Inconsistent
D. Baseball Tee

2. How many years has today’s starter been in the majors?

A. 15+
B. 10-14
C. 5-9
D. >5

3. Is the starter:

A. Left-handed
B. Right-handed
C. Ambidextrous
D. Armless

4. Does the lineup have in it:

A. Aaron Boone and Casey Blake
B. Aaron Boone, but not Casey Blake
C. Casey Blake, but not Aaron Boone
D. Neither

For each “A” answer, add 25 points
For each “B” answer, add 15 points
For each “C” answer, add 5 points
For each “D” answer, add 0 points

If the pitcher received 0-25 points: The Indians have a chance to score 4 runs…celebrate!
If the pitcher received 26-50 points: Play a game of solitare while the team bats, looking up occasionally on the off-chance that the team gets a runner on base
If the pitcher received 51-75 points: Go ahead, go on that date! You might check the radio now and again, though; the team might win 1-0, you know.
If the pitcher received 76-100 points: I hear that a dentist appointment followed by an IRS audit is a great way to kill three hours….

Waiting For Gerut

On Saturday, I mentioned in passing that the Indians optioned Jody Gerut to Buffalo. The biggest issue with Jody, according to the team, is that he doesn’t currently have the mobility to play right field. According to Hal Lebowitz (sorry, no official link, although you can find a fan transcript here), Gerut is saying that he’s in Buffalo because the Indians don’t want him to be arbitration-eligible after the season. As it stands right now, Jody has just over 2 seasons’ worth of major-league service time. Arbitration kicks in automatically for players with three seasons of service time and a percentage of players between two and three years of service time. While Gerut does have a point, I doubt the Indians are keeping him in Buffalo for that reason alone, given the team’s offensive needs.

There are few people who would argue that the Indians don’t have a weak-hitting outfield. Coco Crisp, who is really a center fielder, is playing left field, and Casey Blake, who was formerly a third baseman, is playing right. Grady Sizemore is the only guy who really is a good offensive and defensive fit at his position. The team needs more punch at its corners, especially its corner outfielders. Blake (-2.1 VORP) is the biggest culprit, but Coco Crisp (.415 SLG) in my mind doesn’t provide enough power or on-base ability (.333) to be a legitimate left fielder.

Enter Gerut, and eventually, Juan Gonzalez. Both have at least some track records of offensive production, although in Gerut’s case that track record is based primarily off his 2003 season. Juan Gonzalez, when healthy, is a pretty good hitter. But for Juan, “when healthy” over the past couple of years has meant “almost never.” Gerut is obviously going to be ready sooner than Juan, but Gonzalez could be in Cleveland by the middle of June.

Unfortunately, it isn’t as simple as just bringing Gerut or Gonzalez up to Cleveland; someone has to go. Casey Blake was just extended over the offseason (a move that I didn’t like when it happened), Ryan Ludwick is out of options, and given the interest in Michael Restovich, the Indians aren’t getting him through waivers, and Aaron Boone can’t go to the minors without his consent. The Indians have about ten days to mull over what to do, and short of Boone agreeing quietly to go to Buffalo, whatever move they make will have some long-term consequences.

Then there’s Grady Sizemore, who has several options left. Of course he’s given the team no real reason to send him back, but thanks to baseball rules, he’s a likely candidate to lose out in the outfield shuffle. I think that barring a trade, Sizemore will get optioned, Crisp will go to center, Blake to left, and Gerut will return to his accustomed position in right field. And the Indians will still have two corner players hitting under the Mendoza line playing every day.

Lost and Found

I guess tonight was supposed to be how the Indians were supposed to win this year.

In a matchup of 2004 All-Stars, Jake Westbrook was the better pitcher, although he would have been hard-pressed to be worse than his counterpart. Ted Lilly, who missed several weeks in Spring Training, was awful. He walked five, struck out one, and when he did get the ball over the plate, Tribe batters got him for three hits. Ben Broussard, who seems to thrive with the bases loaded, lined a well-placed double in the right field gap to clear the bases in the first inning, and the team didn’t trail again.

The rain came in the third inning, and given Lilly’s performance up to that point, it seemed the Jays had the advantage. When Jason Davis, who I think needs more consistent work, gave up a home run to Alex Rios (the second of his career) and a base hit to the next batter, I felt the game was slipping away. But JD settled down and retired the seven Blue Jays, and turned the ball over to the back end of the bullpen. Three innings and a Ryan Ludwick homer later, the Indians had won a surpisingly undramatic 6-4 contest.

A note on Bob Howry. He seems to be suffering from a bit of control issues, which looks to be stemming from his release point. During a shot of him warming in the bullpen, Luis Isaac was demonstrating how Bob should be finishing his delivery. Several times during his inning of work, it looked like he held onto the ball too long, and his pitch tailed down and away. It’s not a huge deal, but something to watch. I think David Riske will be getting more appearances in the eighth inning; he and Arthur Rhodes have been the most consistent arms out of a pretty consistent bullpen. Rhodes in particular has been excellent; his three-pitch strikeout of Corey Koskie tonight was exquisite.

I scratched my head when the lineup was posted. I understand that Ted Lilly is left-handed, but I don’t see the need to drop Ben Broussard that far down in the order, much less hit Jose Hernandez and Ryan Ludwick 4-5. Yes, they both had good games, but I sometimes think that tinkering has its limit.

Victor Martinez is a completely different hitter depending which batter’s box he’s in. Take this with a grain of small simple size salt, but Victor is hitting .375/.432/.594 right-handed and .152/.230/.215 left-handed. It kind of reminds me of Jose Valentin, who was a switch hitter in name only. The good news for Victor is that another left-handed pitcher (Gustavo Chacin) is toeing the mound tomorrow. The bad news is that it’s a day game after a night game, meaning Josh Bard will probably get the start. I guess this belies the work switch-hitters have to put in to maintain not one, but two batting stances.

Transactions

Reinstated Jody Gerut from the 15-day Disabled List; Optioned Him to Buffalo (AAA)

Jody was obviously not happy about the demotion, but the Indians are between a rock and a hard place right now. Jody’s mobility isn’t all the way back, and I don’t think the team wants to pull the trigger on a tough move without making 100% sure that Jody is capable of playing right field. Speaking of Buffalo, Brandon Phillips is back from the dead; he’s now hitting a more respectable .242/.301/.439. Whatever plate discipline he showed in 2004 seems to have gone away though; Brandon has whiffed 29 times to 10 walks. Mike Kinkade, who can play third base, would be a nice short-term fix if Boone does go to the minors. Besides his ability to get hit by pitches, he’s walked 11 times as opposed to 15 strikeouts. He’s slugging .495 for the Bisons.

Placed 1B Ryan Mulhern on the Disabled List (A+ – Jaw); Demoted IF Anthony Lunetta to Kinston (A+) from Akron (AA)

The converted outfielder literally took one on the chin in batting practice. That’s too bad, since the 2003 draft pick was off to a pretty good start (.307/.393/.594)

Placed SS Brandon Pinckney on the Disabled List (A+ – finger); Reinstated C Clayton McCullough from the Disabled List

Another literal bad break for a member of the K-Tribe. Pinckney, who had a breakout year in 2004, was hitting just .222/.250/.333, but nevertheless, losing a middle infielder isn’t a great thing for the organization give the dearth of prospects at short and second.

Placed RHP Travis Thompson on the Disabled List (AA – shoulder); Received RHP Kyle Evans from Extended Spring

Around the League…

The Chicago White Sox have now had the lead in every one of their games, shattering a major-league record. What’s even more amazing about their fast start is that they’ve been a below-average offensive club, hitting a collective .259/.325/.397. Now obviously their stellar rotation (3.09 ERA) has a lot to do with that, but over the long haul, I just can’t see them winning at the same pace with those numbers. But by the time they drift back to earth, their margin might be too much for the other teams in the division to overcome. Minnesota, probably the most balanced team in the division, is off to a pretty good 20-13 start, but they’re already 6 games behind the Sox. Amazing.

Better Than Average

5-4 isn’t a bad record for a road trip, considering the places where the Indians had to play. The pitching was pretty decent, with some exceptions, and offense got incrementally better. Grady Sizemore and Jhonny Peralta, the two youngest members of the lineup, started to hit and (more importantly) hit for power; both players are now slugging above .400.

In my opinion, what’s really holding the offense back is the revolving door at the top of the order. Hell, the whole lineup has been a game of musical chairs, but the whole thing starts with the leadoff hitter. Frankly, there’s no one perfectly qualified for the spot right now, but I think Coco Crisp is the closest thing this team has to one. To that end, here’s my “set in stone” lineup:

LF Crisp
CF Sizemore
C Martinez
DH Hafner
RF Blake
1B Broussard
2B Belliard
3B Boone
SS Peralta

There’s speed at the top of the order, although the on-base skills are lacking. But beggers can’t be choosers. Casey Blake, second only to Travis Hafner as far as working counts is concerned, is hitting below .200, so just about anyone else there is an improvement. Well, there is Aaron Boone…

The Indians may have to make a difficult decision in the next couple of weeks. Jody Gerut, barring a setback, should be good to go in 7-10 days. He does have a couple options remaining (hat tip to reader Ron) , so the Indians can take the easy way out and simply option him to Buffalo until a spot opens up. Other candidates for demotion are Grady Sizemore and Ryan Ludwick; Grady has options remaining, while Ryan does not. There’s the possibility of Aaron Boone accepting an assignment, but I think that’s far-fetched. A couple readers have suggested this, but (a) I don’t think the team would even ask him, and (b) there’s very little chance he’d agree to go to the minors. Another option is to send down a pitcher, and go with an 11-man rotation. But I think carrying that many outfielders would mean that nobody would get consistent playing time, which is bad for all involved. These dilemmas tend to sort themselves out, but if a conveinient out doesn’t present itself, a tough decision will have to be made.

The Indians’ bullpen has quietly chugged along, keeping the Tribe in a lot of games. Because of the paucity of runs, the bullpen has really won a lot of games; I referenced the percentage of saves to wins last weekend, and since then, Wickman has saved game number nine. While it’s nice that Wickman has that many saves, it again belies the slim margins the team has to contend with to win games. I’ll stop beating that horse now.

Kevin Millwood has surprised me; not necessarily that he’s pitched well, but his velocity has really gotten my attention. He could be the signing of the offseason, especially considering what some of the other free agents have been doing:

VORP, 2004 Free Agent Pitchers

Kevin Millwood 10.8
Eric Milton -3.2
Matt Clement 9.3
Jon Lieber 15.0
Carl Pavano 0.0
Pedro Martinez 14.6
Jaret Wright -9.5
Brad Radke 8.6
Russ Ortiz 1.0
Derek Lowe 11.7
Paul Byrd 0.6

Ryan Garko is mashing again after a slow April. Ryan’s AAA line is now at .313/.387/.545 with a decent 19/11 SO/BB ratio. Ryan is really only a catcher or a first baseman given his physical ability, so third base is not an option. If Martinez, Hafner, or Broussard go on the DL, Ryan should be the first one called up. As of now, there’s no way to fit him on the roster. Also performing well is Fernando Cabrera; he seems to be over the control problems that plagued him in Spring Training (1 BB in 13.2 IP).

JD Martin, who had been off to a great start for the Aeros, has been placed on the DL with an elbow injury, but it doesn’t appear serious, according to Akron manager Torey Lovullo. Kyle Denney is on Buffalo’s DL with “right ulnar neuritis.” I’m no doctor, but I think that means he has some type of nerve inflammation in his right elbow. To take Kyle’s place, the Bisons received the zombie formerly known as Jason Bere.

The Options page should be updated soon.

The House of Whacks

Arlington has been a house of horrors for the Indians in the past couple of years. I don’t know if it’s just a bad place for Indians pitchers, or if the Rangers hitters have figured out something that the rest of the league hasn’t. That made last night’s victory a welcome sight. The Indians used a first-inning implosion by Pedro Astacio to build a seven run lead, and held on in the late innings to beat the Rangers 8-6.

Grady Sizemore made two defensive plays in the field: one good, and one outstanding. The “good” play came in the 7th, where he made a catch against the wall; the “oustanding” play occurred in 5th inning, when Grady took away a Gary Matthews home run. Cliff Lee, who was pitching, doffed his cap to Sizemore, and deservedly so. But the catch was more important than it seemed at the time; the Rangers were down 8-1 at the time, but from the 6th inning on, they scored 5 runs and forced Eric Wedge to bring in Bob Wickman to close things out.

Cliff Lee, whose stuff doesn’t really mesh with Arlington, pitched well enough, though he was the beneficiary of some fine defensive plays. Fellow flyball pitcher Scott Elarton pitches tonight, which doesn’t bode well for the Indians; Scott hasn’t won a road game in four years, and he’s pretty close to pitching himself off the roster.

I think a swap of Jason Davis and Kaz Tadano would be a good move for both parties. The Indians still don’t really know what to do with Davis, so I’d rather send him down to Buffalo and let him pitch regularly there until they figure out what his role is. Tadano, who has been the Bisons’ long-man, has held opposing batters to a .209 average, and has walked 5 in his 24.1 innings of work. Brian Tallet would be a nice replacement for Scott Elarton; he’s holding International League hitters to a .204 average.

By the way…Aaron Boone hit second in the order last night?!

The Margin of Error

No, this isn’t a poll; it’s what the Indians have to deal with because of their offense.

The Indians are 10th in the AL in starting pitching and 3rd in relief pitching. They rank 6th in overall pitching. The boogeyman that was the bullpen seems to have been exorcised, but another one has taken his place, and this one resides in the team’s bats.

What does a bad offense do? It makes the margin of error for winning much smaller. A prime example took place during Tuesday’s win against the Twins. Joe Mays, who the Indians have historically owned, could have been forced out of the game multiple times. But he wasn’t, allowing the Twins to get to their bullpen, and keep the game close. Minnesota was one hit away from tying the game. Some times you can blow the game; remember a game a couple weeks back against the Angels? Bob Wickman didn’t really pitch poorly…but his one mistake (a leadoff walk) allowed Garret Anderson’s bloop hit to tie the game, and eventually lead to an Angels’ win.

An interesting (and crude) measure I like to look at is to see what percentage of a team’s wins come with saves. The Indians have 11 wins, and Wickman has saved 7 of them. Now, there are other teams with higher saves per win ratios (the Pirates’ Jose Mesa has saved every one of his team’s wins as of yesterday), but 7 saves out of 11 wins is an indicator of how “tough” the team’s wins have been.

On the other hand, BJ Ryan has only 5 saves; his team has 18 wins. The Marlins’ staff only has 3 saves among them; their team has won 15 games. Notice a trend? A bad offense can make winning games a lot tougher, and makes the pitching staff throw more high-leverage innings.

So, now that I’ve made a circuitous explanation as to why a bad offense isn’t conducive to winning baseball games, who are the culprits? Let’s take a look at the lineup’s VORP, along with their positional rank among AL players:

C Victor Martinez -.6 (23rd)
1B Ben Broussard 2.8 (9th)
2B Ronnie Belliard 6.7 (4th)
3B Jose Hernandez -1.9 (16th)
3B Aaron Boone -7.1 (Last out of 23)
SS Jhonny Peralta 1.4 (13th)
SS Alex Cora 1.5 (11th)
RF Casey Blake -.4 (13th)
CF Grady Sizemore 3.1 (9th)
LF Coco Crisp -2.6 (19th)
DH Travis Hafner 11.8 (3rd)

That’s an ugly sight. Essentially, Belliard and Hafner are the only two players hitting better than league-average, you have Broussard and Sizemore a bit below-average, and the rest are scraping the bottom of the list. Boone’s -7.1 VORP is astounding; only Jack Wilson has a higher negative VORP. Yes, some of these players (Victor Martinez, I’m looking at you) will bounce back. But some I’m not so sure of; Coco Crisp is a reach in left field even with his glove, and Casey Blake in right field was going to be average at best. What’s even more amazing is that this is the lineup that started Opening Day; no one’s (knock on wood) has gone on the disabled list as of yet.

So are there any reinforcements on the horizon? Yes. Jody Gerut is about two weeks from returning to the lineup, and he could add some punch to the lineup, pushing Coco Crisp or Grady Sizemore out of the lineup. There’s Juan Gonzalez but….no, just forget about him. Among the regulars in AAA, Jake Gautreau and Ernie Young are having good seasons thus far. Ryan Garko is also available, but you’d have to find somewhere he could play. However, other than Gerut, I think the Indians are pretty much stuck with what they presently have. The team just has to hope that Boone can shake off 15 months’ worth of rust, and that Victor can get hot.

Fits and Starts

Baseball is funny. Sometimes it can be agonizing, but at times it can seem so simple and beautiful.

Yes, the Indians beat a Royals team that looked just plain awful. But I guess you have to start somewhere. Zack Greinke is one of the game’s best young pitchers, and the Indians were patient, and started to the ball much they did last year; lots of doubles, taking pitches up the middle and the other way. Frankly, the Indians lineup isn’t built like earlier incarnations, but they can be successful if they stick to what they do best.

If you want to show a young player how to hit, you could do a lot worse than to show tape of Travis Hafner. The only thing Pronk hasn’t done thus far is to start hitting homers, but those will come. Victor Martinez, a notoriously slow starter, is looking much better at the plate. I don’t think Grady Sizemore is ready for the top of the order, but then again, Coco Crisp hasn’t been that much better.

During Thursday’s game, Detroit manager Alan Trammel walked Ben Broussard, the go-ahead run, to get to Aaron Boone in the eighth inning. That tells you all need to know about how awful Boone has been at the plate. Did Jim Thome have slumps this bad? Yes, I know we’re seeing a year’s worth of rust coming off Boone’s bat. Yes, I know Boone has been a maked improvement in the field. But a .130/.208/.319 line in the lineup every day is an enormous black hole, a singularity of offensive ineptness that seems to be sucking the offense from the players hitting around him.

If you haven’t been looking ahead to May, be prepared for some brutal stretches in the coming weeks. After the Indians are finished with Kansas City, they go on a 9-game road trip to Minnesota, Texas, and Los Angeles. Ick. During the month of May, the Indians play the Angels six times and the Twins eight times. All of which makes taking care of business at home very important. A 3-6 record at the Jake isn’t going to get it done.

CC Sabathia is looking very good. Granted, the lineup he faced tonight was barely International-League quality, but there were very few loud outs. When a pitcher is dominating, his outs are generally weak grounders, infield flies, and of course, strikeouts. Sabathia’s control wasn’t the greatest, but his stuff was excellent, as evidenced by all the weak outs coming from Royal bats.

Speaking of CC, check out the newly updated CC Hat Tribute at Mistake by the Lake. The Danny Ferry exhibit has me entertaining thoughts of constructing a baseball wing. Cory Snyder would obviously in the inaugural induction class, as would Jeff Manto and Chris Magruder.

Right now I’m working on the last two papers of my academic career. Boy does that feel good to say.

Finally, a word about the recently retired Paul Shuey. Paul had, when healthy, as good a pitching repetroire as any reliever in the game. But injuries literally cut Shuey’s career in half. He was the Indians’ first-round choice in 1992; a high-school shortstop from Michigan named Derek Jeter was taken by the Yankees four picks later. But he did make the majors, and was a key part of several playoff teams. Given recent history, I’d think he’ll stay with the organization in some capacity.

Sabathia Signs!

Well, it happened; the Indians have extended CC Sabathia through 2008. Think of the new deal as a two-year deal; Sabathia’s current contract, which runs through 2006, will be kept intact. The 2007-2008 portion of the contract pays Sabathia $17.75M plus incentives. Those two years are important, because they are “free agent” years.

The breakdown by year:

2005 – $5.20M
2006 – $7M (option picked up)
2007 – $8.75M (free agent year)
2008 – $9M (free agent year)

Sabathia can also earn incentives during the last three years of the contract, and can make as much as $11.75M in 2007 and 2008.

For the Indians, this is not only a good deal financially, but an important turning point in public perception of the franchise. While the team gave out long-term deals to Travis Hafner and Victor Martinez, this deal is a much more important one because Sabathia would have been able to walk after the 2006 season. For a fan of a team who lost home-grown talent like Jim Thome and Manny Ramirez to free agency, today is a great day.

Prospect Profiles: Jason Cooper and Kevin Kouzmanoff

Numbers 15 and 16 on my list are both college sluggers.

16. 3B Kevin Kouzmanoff
How Acquired: 2003 Draft (6th Round)
College: Nevada
ETA: 2007

Year League Age AB 2B HR SB BA OBP SLG
2003 SSA 22 206 8 8 2 .272 .342 .437
2004 A- 23 473 35 16 5 .330 .394 .526

Along with Pat Osborn, Kouzmanoff gives the Indians organization a pair of decent prospects at third base, an organizational black hole in recent years. Kouzmanoff had a fantastic year in his first season in a full-season league, although he posted those numbers at the age of 23. He’s starting this year in Kinston, but I’d like to see what he can do in Akron before the season’s over. He’s not going to be a star by any stretch of the imagination, but he does everything well enough. BA’s John Manuel pegs him as Casey Blake with less power.

15. OF Jason Cooper
How Acquired: 2002 Draft (3rd Round)
College: Stanford
ETA: 2006

Year League Age AB 2B HR SB BA OBP SLG
2002 A- 21 55 5 4 0 .255 .339 .564
2003 A- 22 262 17 12 3 .298 .385 .553
2003 A+ 22 218 17 9 3 .307 .380 .528
2004 AA 23 422 24 14 2 .239 .321 .424
2004 AAA 23 52 1 3 1 .173 .295 .365

After a great 2003 campaign split between Lake County and Kinston, the AA level proved difficult for Cooper, and thus far a return engagement hasn’t been good. A couple things are working against Jason. First of all, he’s at best a left fielder, thanks to a poor throwing arm. Secondly, there’s a lot of outfield competition in the organization, from Sizemore and Crisp in Cleveland to Gutierrez and Snyder in the high minors. He was left eligible for the Rule 5 draft, one of the better position players unprotected, but didn’t get picked. He’s a guy who has good power potential, but like a lot of power hitters has to be able to control the strike zone. So far in Akron, he hasn’t been able to do that, posting a poor 25:8 SO/BB ratio. His stock is falling rapidly in my opinion.